Monday, May 19, 2008

Indian Ocean Dipole (IOD) 2008

Indian Ocean Dipole 2008 is decaying!

Prediction Information:
For detail of JAMSTEC Seasonal climate prediction
http://www.jamstec.go.jp/frcgc/research/d1/iod/2007/forecast/sintex_f1_forecast.htm

Press release from JAMSTEC (in Japanese)
http://www.jamstec.go.jp/j/about/press_release/20080714/index.html

Latest Dipole Mode Index by OOPC http://ioc3.unesco.org/oopc/state_of_the_ocean/sur/ind/dmi.php

Seasonal Climate Prediction Link from CSIRO
http://www.marine.csiro.au/~mcintosh/SeasonalClimate.htm

The Break Newsletter, Victoria, Australia http://www.dpi.vic.gov.au/DPI/nrenfa.nsf/fid/D2C555F0627B0F5FCA2574C900096C00

APEC Climate Centre, http://www2.apcc21.net/climate/climate01_01.php
BOM, http://www.bom.gov.au/climate/ahead/
ECMWF, http://www.ecmwf.int/products/forecasts/d/charts
IRI, http://iri.columbia.edu/climate/forecast/
NOAA CPC/NCEP, http://www.cpc.ncep.noaa.gov/

National Climate Outlook

India, http://www.imd.ernet.in/section/nhac/dynamic/lrf.htm
Indonesia, http://www.bmg.go.id/data.bmg?Jenis=Teks&IDS=0039172999652155889
Malaysia, http://www.met.gov.my/people/research/seasonal_outlook.pdf
Kenya, http://www.meteo.go.ke/

Debate in Parliment
Malaysia (May 12, 2008), http://www.parlimen.gov.my/hindex/pdf/DR-12052008.pdf

Regional Warning and Monitoring:

Haze On-line (ASEAN Secretariat), http://www.haze-online.or.id/index.php
http://haze.asean.org/

Latest Satellite Images and Hotspots:

MODIS Aqua of Sumatra and Java (Ocean)
http://marufish.blogspot.com/search/label/Sumatra%20and%20Java

ASMC
http://www.weather.gov.sg/wip/web/ASMC

MODIS Land Rapid Respone System
http://rapidfire.sci.gsfc.nasa.gov/

LAPAN, Indonesia
http://www.lapanrs.com/SMBA/smba.php

Annoucement in 2008:

ENSO Wrap-Up, Summary: Neutral ENSO conditions to continue, BOM, Australia, Oct 8, 2008 http://www.bom.gov.au/climate/enso/

ENSO Wrap-Up, Summary: Neutral conditions likely to end the year , BOM, Australia, Sep 24, 2008
http://www.bom.gov.au/climate/enso/

ENSO Wrap-Up, Summary: Neutral ENSO conditions likely to persist , BOM, Australia, Jul 23, 2008
http://www.bom.gov.au/climate/enso/

ENSO Wrap-Up, Summary: Neutral ENSO conditions likely to persist , BOM, Australia, Jul 2, 2008
http://www.bom.gov.au/climate/enso/

INDIA METEOROLOGICAL DEPARTMENT, Long range forecast update for the 2008 Southwest monsoon rainfall, June 30, 2008
http://www.imd.ernet.in/section/nhac/dynamic/lrf.htm

Kenya Meteorological Department, REVIEW OF THE PERFORMANCE OF THE “LONG RAINS” (MARCH-MAY) 2008 SEASON AND OUTLOOK FOR JUNE - AUGUST 2008
http://www.meteo.go.ke/pws/wx/jja2008.doc
http://www.meteo.go.ke/pws/wx/JJA2008brochure.pdf

The APEC CLIMATE CENTER Climate Outlook for July-September 2008, June 25, 2008
http://www2.apcc21.net/climate/climate01_01.php

WMO El Niño/La Niña Update, June 24, 2008
http://www.wmo.int/pages/prog/wcp/wcasp/enso_update_latest.html

A regular commentary on the El Niño-Southern Oscillation, BOM, Australia, June 4, 2008 http://www.bom.gov.au/climate/enso/


Articles in 2008:

Climate models predict increased risk of precipitations in the Horn of Africa for end of 2008, EMPRES Watch, 2008
http://www.fao.org/docs/eims/upload/248202/aj129e00.pdf

Indonesian drought, Kenyan flooding, OurWorld2.0, July 5, 2008
http://ourworld.unu.edu/en/2008/07/05/indonesia-drought-kenya-flooding/


News in 2008:

English

Drought woes to continue: Jamstec, Weekly Times, Oct 31, 2008
http://www.weeklytimesnow.com.au/article/2008/10/31/20555_national-news.html

Models raise the mercury, Fairfax, Oct 29, 2008
http://www.bendigoadvertiser.com.au/news/local/news/general/models-raise-the-mercury/1345640.aspx

Climate's three-headed dog, Farmonline, Oct 15, 2008
http://nqr.farmonline.com.au/news/state/agribusiness-and-general/general/climates-threeheaded-dog/1334547.aspx

SOI rises sharply to +16.5, lifting spring rain hopes, Fairfax, Sep 25, 2008
http://sl.farmonline.com.au/news/nationalrural/grains-and-cropping/general/soi-rises-sharply-to-165-lifting-spring-rain-prospects/1280739.aspx

Rains erupt over Kerala, East still wet , Business Line, Sep 1, 2008
http://www.moneycontrol.com/india/news/commodities/rains-erupt-over-kerala-east-still-wet-/15/03/354178

Australia eyes dry weather from Indian Ocean effect, Reuters, Jul 23, 2008
http://money.ninemsn.com.au/article.aspx?id=602562

Rainfall in peninsular India may improve by July-end, The Indian Express and The Financial Express on July 21, 2008
http://www.mynews.in/fullstory.aspx?storyid=7904

Rainfall in peninsula may improve, Indian Express Newspapers, Jul 21, 2008
http://www.financialexpress.com/news/Rainfall-in-peninsula-may-improve/338211/

Fresh rain wave on, may skip interior peninsula, Hindu Business Line, Jul 15, 2008
http://www.thehindubusinessline.com/2008/07/16/stories/2008071651031100.htm

Disquiet in South drains rain surplus to 10%, Hindu Business Line, Jul 11, 2008
http://www.thehindubusinessline.com/2008/07/12/stories/2008071251221200.htm

Monsoon covers entire country with 5-day lead, Hindu Business Line, Jul 10, 2008
http://www.thehindubusinessline.com/2008/07/11/stories/2008071151181100.htm

Qualifying climate change, Fairfax Media, Jul 10, 2008
http://theland.farmonline.com.au/blogs/out-here/qualifying-climate-change/808530.aspx

BOM gives more benign forecast, Fairfax Media, 9/07/2008
http://nqr.farmonline.com.au/news/state/agribusiness-and-general/general/bom-gives-more-benign-forecast/807489.aspx

Fresh whirl over northwest Bay by Sunday, Hindu Business Line, Jul 4, 2008
http://www.thehindubusinessline.com/2008/07/05/stories/2008070550801200.htm

21% surplus rain in June, more seen coming, Hindu Business Line, Jul 3, 2008
http://www.thehindubusinessline.com/2008/07/04/stories/2008070452231100.htm

Rains bear down heavily over Gujarat region, Hindu Business Line, Jul 2, 2008
http://www.thehindubusinessline.com/2008/07/03/stories/2008070351171100.htm

Young Climate Workshop, Jul 2, 2008
http://young.yourguide.com.au/news/local/news/general/young-climate-workshop/801781.aspx

Monsoon roars back to life, W. coast pounded, Hindu Business Line, Jul 1, 2008
http://www.thehindubusinessline.com/2008/07/02/stories/2008070250571300.htm

Dipole event prompts monsoon outlook upgrade, Hindu Business Line, June 30, 2008
http://www.thehindubusinessline.com/2008/07/01/stories/2008070150981300.htm

Rain outlook bleak for winter months, Fairfax Media, June 27, 2008
http://bendigo.yourguide.com.au/news/local/news/business/rain-outlook-bleak-for-winter-months/798704.aspx

Weekend rains to help lift ‘break’ phase, Hindu Business Line, June 24, 2008
http://www.thehindubusinessline.com/2008/06/25/stories/2008062550371100.htm

US, Asian models see normal rains during July, Hindu Business Line , June 20, 2008
http://www.thehindubusinessline.com/2008/06/21/stories/2008062152251200.htm

Monsoon rains hit India early for first time in more than a century, killing 23, The Star, June 16, 2008
http://thestar.com.my/news/story.asp?file=/2008/6/16/apworld/20080616154931&sec=apworld

Full monsoon coverage with 14-day lead time seen, Hindu Business Line , June 14, 2008 http://www.blonnet.com/2008/06/14/stories/2008061450131200.htm

Dipole lends odds-on chance for surplus rain , Hindu Business Line, June 10, 2008
http://www.thehindubusinessline.com/2008/06/10/stories/2008061050771100.htm

Monsoon holds strong, west coast ‘low’ soon, Hindu Business Line , June 9, 2008 http://www.thehindubusinessline.com/2008/06/09/stories/2008060950380500.htm

Fresh ‘low’ expected to boost monsoon flows, Hindu Business Line , May 17
http://www.thehindubusinessline.com/2008/05/17/stories/2008051750281400.htm

Q&A, The Calgary Herald, May 11
http://www.canada.com/calgaryherald/news/story.html?id=23e8bb39-29dd-4a10-8ea6-7ea7dcf412eb

‘Northwest India too will share monsoon spoils’, Hindu Business Line, Apr 19
http://www.thehindubusinessline.com/2008/04/19/stories/2008041950611100.htm

New online climate tools to benefit farmers, Stock and Land - Fairfax,Australia, Apr 1
http://sl.farmonline.com.au/news/nationalrural/grains-and-cropping/barley/new-online-climate-tools-to-benefit-farmers/83819.aspx

Cold, dry winter a La Nina offshoot: Experts, Hindu Business Line, Mar 12
http://www.thehindubusinessline.com/2008/03/12/stories/2008031251471300.htm

Monsoon to bless north-west this time, Hindu Business Line, Jan 26
http://www.thehindubusinessline.com/2008/01/26/stories/2008012650271300.htm

Experts see early onset of monsoon, Hindu Business Line, Jan 23
http://www.thehindubusinessline.com/2008/01/23/stories/2008012351531300.htm

Bahasa Indonesia

Muncul Gejala Awal Terjadi Dipole Mode, KOMPAS, Jul 2, 2008
http://www.kompas.com/read/xml/2008/07/02/0637213/muncul.gejala.awal.terjadi.dipole.mode

Ada "Dua Kutub" di Samudera Hindia, Berita Iptek, Feb 13, 2008
http://www.beritaiptek.com/pilihberita.php?id=386
http://www.fisikanet.lipi.go.id/utama.cgi?artikel&1206267194&4


Japanese

インド洋海水温、3年連続異常=アフリカなど大雨懸念-海洋機構, 7月15日4時33分配信 時事通信
http://headlines.yahoo.co.jp/hl?a=20080715-00000015-jij-soci

今年も猛暑? インド洋で「ダイポールモード現象,」7月14日19時33分配信 産経新聞
http://headlines.yahoo.co.jp/hl?a=20080714-00000943-san-int

今年も猛暑? インド洋で「ダイポールモード現象」, Sankei, 2008年7月15日
http://sankei.jp.msn.com/life/trend/080714/trd0807141853015-n1.htm

インド洋の異常現象、3年連続で発生 海洋機構が予測, Nikkei, 2008年7月15日
http://www.nikkei.co.jp/news/shakai/20080714AT1G1403914072008.html

インド洋の異常現象、3年連続で発生 海洋機構が予測, Eco Nikkei, 2008年7月15日
http://eco.nikkei.co.jp/news/nikkei/article.aspx?id=AS1G14039%2014072008

インド洋海水温、3年連続異常=アフリカなど大雨懸念-海洋機構, 2008年7月15日
http://www.jiji.com/jc/c?g=soc_30&k=2008071500059

インド洋:海水温異常、3年連続で発生, 毎日新聞, 2008年7月15日
http://mainichi.jp/select/wadai/news/20080715ddm012040077000c.html

インド洋:海水温異常、3年連続で発生…海洋研究開発機構, 毎日新聞, 2008年7月15日
http://mainichi.jp/select/wadai/news/20080715k0000m040052000c.html

台風への備え/気象現象の理解深めよ, THE JAPAN AGRICULTURAL NEWS, June 15, 2008
http://www.nougyou-shimbun.ne.jp/modules/news1/article.php?storyid=579

Blog in 2008:

English Blog

Climate change: The reality of now in Victoria, Oct 29, 2008, Planet Doom?
http://planetdoom.blogspot.com/2008/10/climate-change-reality-of-now-in.html

thrusts and Prospect of monsoon prediction - Bin Wang, Oct 23, 2008, froggy
http://ams-reading.blogspot.com/2008/10/thrusts-and-prospect-of-monsoon.html

Indian Ocean - A More Detailed Look , Sep 30, 2008, Bob Tisdale
http://bobtisdale.blogspot.com/2008/09/indian-ocean-more-detailed-look.html

Looking ahead, Sep 18, 2008, Keene Weather
http://keenetwo.blogspot.com/2008/09/looking-ahead.html

PRELIMINARY 2008-9 WINTER OUTLOOK, Sep 15, 2008, Keene Weather
http://keeneweather.blogspot.com/2008/09/preliminary-2008-9-winter-outlook.html

Indian Monsoon – El Nino and La Nina, Jul 3, 2008






http://www.indianadministration.com/blog/blog6.php/2008/07/03/indian-monsoon-andash-el-nino-and-la-nin-2


Planetary Circulations and Forecasts, Yes, I am looking for a better discussion!, June 26, 2008
http://www.stormvista.com/forum/index.php?showtopic=4287

2008 Summer Forecast, Mar 4
http://www.easternuswx.com/bb/index.php?showtopic=163664

Australian Drought Eases, But Not Over, By Joshua S Hill , Mar 3
http://feeds.greenoptions.com/~r/green-options-blog/~3/244511434/

Interpretation of Australian rainfall projections, By Library@EPA, Feb 12
http://epalibraryhotnewdocs.blogspot.com/2008/02/interpretation-of-australian-rainfall.html

Down Under turns Inside Out, by Joshua S Hill, Jan 8
http://ecoworldly.com/2008/01/07/down-under-turns-inside-out/

Chinese

下一次厄尔尼诺事件将要爆发的三大理由, 光明网-光明观察, Jul 22, 2008
http://guancha.gmw.cn/content/2008-07/22/content_808632.htm

Bahasa Indonesia

Hubungan Efek Rumah Kaca, Pemanasan Global dan Perubahan Iklim, July 17, 2008 — La An
http://mbojo.wordpress.com/2008/07/17/hubungan-efek-rumah-kaca-pemanasan-global-dan-perubahan-iklim/

Survey Padang, Mati Lampu, dan Mencreet …, July 15, 2008
http://ardhi108.blogsome.com/2008/07/15/survey-padang-mati-lampu-dan-mencreet/

Menghidupkan kembali semangat “bahari “ , Iskhaq Iskandar, July 15, 2008
http://iskhaq.wordpress.com/2008/07/15/menghidupkan-kembali-semangat-%E2%80%9Cbahari-%E2%80%9C/

Ada Dipole Mode lagi tahun ini? , Iskhaq Iskandar, July 7, 2008
http://iskhaq.wordpress.com/2008/07/07/ada-dipole-mode-lagi-tahun-ini/

DIPOLE MODE, Kadarsah, Arpil 3, 2008
http://kadarsah.wordpress.com/2008/04/03/dipole-mode/

Ada “Dua Kutub” di Samudera Hindia, April 12, 2008
http://juliuskurnia.wordpress.com/2008/04/12/ada-dua-kutub-di-samudera-hindia/

Ada “Dua Kutub” di Samudera Hindia, Mar 10, 2008
http://fehector.blogspot.com/2008_03_01_archive.html


Japanese Blog

「インド洋ダイポールモード」, Jul 15, 2008, oka3
http://oka3.jugem.jp/?eid=45

東シナ海高気圧, Jul 14, 2008, お天気ブログ
http://ameblo.jp/tradeair/entry-10116265970.html

今年も猛暑 空梅雨・猛暑はダイポールモード現象の影響か? , Jul 14, 2008, info_matsusaka
http://blog.livedoor.jp/info_matsusaka/archives/51156530.html

海水温異常、3年連続インド洋, Jul 14, 2008, runrunkinakina
http://lapai.livedoor.biz/archives/166617.html

ダイポールモード現象とは, Jun 3, 2008
http://ondanka2012.seesaa.net/article/99261447.html

アランとの関係 , May 31, 2008
http://aspialain.blog73.fc2.com/blog-entry-1108.html

今夏も猛暑?, May 30, 2008
http://blog.goo.ne.jp/tokiwagozen3333/e/fedcb0c6ca8cf23604ec1092252ff7e4

ダイポールモード現象, May 30, 2008
http://painmaster-seigle.blogspot.com/2008/05/blog-post.html

温暖化とバター不足, May 24, 2008
http://onndannka.cocolog-nifty.com/blog/2008/05/post_3039.html

猛暑, May 18, 2008
http://iwtshop.blog100.fc2.com/blog-entry-1348.html

異常気象って, Feb 26, 2008
http://potato50.blog93.fc2.com/blog-entry-190.html

人はそんな空想を何度も繰り返して1つになってく異常気象, Feb 25, 2008
http://hutokikazuo.seesaa.net/article/87059567.html

温暖化 海からの警告, Feb 24, 2008
http://news2013.blog22.fc2.com/blog-entry-491.html

海が地球の気候を決めている, Feb 23, 2008
http://ishidorimaturi.spaces.live.com/blog/cns!BF64FA1A25F43A0E!167.entry

海からの警告!インド洋におけるダイポールモード現象〜, Feb 21, 2008
http://plaza.rakuten.co.jp/nanahononokoriga/diary/200802210000/

ダイポールモード現象, Feb 21,2008
http://earthbottle.blog123.fc2.com/blog-entry-71.html

ダイポールモード現象, Feb 21, 2008
http://thinking-eco.blogspot.com/2008/02/500.html

ロスビー波がマスコミに登場, Feb 21, 2008

http://junotk.exblog.jp/8286792/


海面温度の異常上昇、世界で初めて予測に成功, Feb 15, 2008
http://yaplog.jp/inermo743/archive/8

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